What does the future of Medicaid LTSS look like for Minnesota’s Older Adults?
Speakers: Greg Arling and Zachary Hass
About the Session:
About the Session:
Minnesota’s “Own Your Future” initiative recently completed a comprehensive research study of Minnesota’s Medicaid Long-Term Services and Supports (LTSS) for older adults. The study examined use and payments during Pre-Covid, Covid and Post Covid time periods and incorporated them into future projections of Medicaid LTSS usage and costs for older adults going out to 2039. It offers a comprehensive analysis and projections of the need for and costs of Medicaid Long-Term Services and Supports for older adults in Minnesota..
This session will explore in detail the key findings and results of the study and how they were incorporated into microsimulation-based projections of three future scenarios for LTSS in Minnesota. All three scenarios show substantial increases in Medicaid usage and projected LTSS cost more than doubling by 2039.
The authors will explain the key drivers of those projections including a detailed analysis of Minnesota’s future older adult demographics as well as usage and cost trends for Nursing Homes, Assisted Living Facilities and Home and Community-Based Services (HCBS). The session will also show the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on past and future needs for Medicaid LTSS in Minnesota.
The final report is the culmination of more than three years of research by the authors, from Purdue University, in conjunction with the University of Minnesota’s State Health Access Data Assistance Center (SHADAC) and Minnesota’s Department of Human Services.
About the Speakers:
Dr. Gregory Arling PHD, Professor, School of Nursing Purdue University
Dr. Arling received his PhD from the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign in 1974. His research interests are in health care quality assessment, evaluation, and policy analysis. Much of his research has been with elderly populations in long-term care settings. He has helped develop comprehensive measures of care quality, assessed the accuracy and effectiveness of these measures, and applied them to quality improvement, public reporting and pay-for-performance. He also has studied transitions between care settings, such as hospital, nursing home, and community care. He was a principal or co-investigator on projects supported by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, Veterans Health Administration, National Institute on Aging, Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, and state Medicaid programs.
Dr. Zachary Hass PHD, Associate Professor, School of Nursing and Edwardson School of Industrial Engineering, Purdue University, with a joint appointment in the School of Nursing and Edwardson School of Industrial Engineering
Dr. Hass received both a Ph.D. and master’s degree from Purdue University. His research focuses on evaluating policies, programs, and interventions that impact health systems that serve vulnerable and older adult populations, such as long-term care, home and community based services, adult protective services, and community based efforts to address issues in rural health
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